Verdict first. One number that matters. One reason in plain English. Fresh calls land here every round.
FPL· GW1-3EPLhigh-confidence235FPL points last season, second only to Haaland among players in this season's game
Hull away first up is rated 2 for difficulty, and Fernandes has a goal and three assists in six career games against gameweek 3 opponents Everton. The armband is Bruno's for the opening month, except for one week. Will be a nice point of difference from the Haaland crowd
GameDay Squad· 2026/27 previewEPLhigh-confidence24.4points a game last season, rescored under 2026/27 rules
Key passes now pay 3, and Fernandes banked 137 extra points from that change alone, the biggest gain of any player. The next best midfield average is Szoboszlai's 16.
GameDay Squad· Round 23NRLhigh-confidence52.3Payne Haas's projected floor, the highest in the round
Haas's worst-case number beats the outright projection of all but 18 players in the round. Spend zero minutes on the top three and every spare thought on the last two spots in your side.
GameDay Squad· Round 22AFLhigh-confidence159average in the five games without Jack Sinclair this season
Sinclair's season is over with a calf injury and Wanganeen-Milera has averaged 159 in the five games Sinclair missed, up from 129 together. Carlton is the second-toughest defender matchup in the comp, conceding 13 below average, and the numbers still say start them.
GameDay Squad· Round 1AFLWhigh-confidence4spots solved: Marinoff, Gardiner, Riddell, Garner
The four best averages in the comp by a distance, all projected 134 or better for Round 1. Everyone will own them. The comp is won in your last two midfield spots.
GameDay Squad· Round 1EPLstrong play14.1points a game for Semenyo last season, top six among forwards
Seven goals in 17 league games since the January move to City, and Round 1 brings Bournemouth to the Etihad. A reunion game plus a top-six forward average is an easy start.
FPL· GW1-3EPLhigh-confidence8goals for Haaland in five career games against Crystal Palace
Eight in five is a career-long pattern, not a hot streak, and the 239 points last season were the most of anyone in this season's game. Gameweek 2 is the one week Bruno Fernandes gives up the armband.
GameDay Squad· 2026/27 previewEPLstrong play12points a game last season, now rescored as a defender
A position move that has lead to almost 130 bump in seasonal score now makes the younf City defender one of the premium defenders in the game.
GameDay Squad· Round 23NRLstrong play47.5projected, the third-best hooker score in Round 23
The season average ranks them 12th at the position because of the bench months, but since taking the 9 it's the second-best hooker ceiling in the round, and Harry Grant (out since Round 9) still isn't named. The competition sorts by average; this is where it's wrong.
GameDay Squad· Round 22AFLstrong play160average across the last three rounds, the best of anyone in the comp
Nobody has scored more over the last month, and the 101 season average hides it completely. Brisbane defends the position hardest in the comp, which is the only thing between Impey and another 160 in Primetime.
GameDay Squad· Round 1AFLWdifferential113.6projected for Round 1
Two games into last season they tore an ACL, and forgotten players are where the edge is. They returned with 27 disposals and 8 clearances in Melbourne's practice-match win.
FPL· GW1-3EPLdifferential167FPL points for Watkins last season, with career form against both opening opponents
Three goals and an assist in four career games against Brighton, four career goals against Arsenal, then promoted Hull away. History against the exact opponents in front of them is the edge at £8.0m.
GameDay Squad· Round 1EPLdifferential12.7points a game for Mukiele last season, a top-eight defender average
Sunderland open at Ipswich, one of the three promoted clubs. A Sunderland card will be nobody's first pick, and that is exactly why this one is free of competition.
GameDay Squad· 2026/27 previewEPLstrong play16points a game last season under 2026/27 scoring
All 78 extra points under the rescore came from key passes now paying 3. Only Bruno Fernandes averages more in the midfield lane.
GameDay Squad· Round 22AFLstrong play143average over the last three rounds, from a forward slot averaging 70 league-wide
Only two players in the whole comp have scored more over the last month, and both are defenders. Forwards are the weakest scoring position going; Sparrow is your edge there.
GameDay Squad· Round 23NRLdifferential53points in Round 22, first game as an 80-minute edge
The model lifts them from an 18 average to 45, still shy of the startable line in a deep edge position. But in a keep-forever format, a 20-year-old who just seized an 80-minute role is exactly the card to collect.
GameDay Squad· Round 1AFLWdifferential127points (adjusted for time on ground)
Gold Coast recruited them and put them straight back on the ball: 20 disposals, 4 clearances and 6 tackles in their first hit-out for the Suns. That projection is top-ten mid territory.
GameDay Squad· Round 1EPLstrong play12.9points a game for Williams last season, fifth among defenders
Forest open at home to Leeds. All signs point to a massive score with Williams' already high scoring potential being guided by a new manager who has had success with his type in the last.
FPL· GW1-3EPLvalue pick£6.5mHarry Wilson's price, the best midfield value on the board for the first three
168 FPL points last season, four career goals against gameweek 2 opponents Brentford, and all three of Leeds's opening fixtures are rated 3 or better.
GameDay Squad· Round 23NRLdifferential52Hayden Watson's projection, above the returning Munster's 51.0
Munster returns from five weeks out to a genuine top-six halves number, so starting them is fine. But their halves partner outprojects the headline name, and almost nobody will play Watson. The differential is standing right next to the star.
GameDay Squad· Round 22AFLavoid73average ruck score conceded by Fremantle in the last six rounds, 13 below league average
Gawn's 125 season average is the best ruck output in the comp, which is exactly why this matters: Fremantle has been the toughest ruck matchup going for six weeks. Seven ruck games is a small sample, but if you're choosing between premiums, this is the tiebreaker.
GameDay Squad· Round 1EPLavoid0league games last season for Hull, Ipswich and Coventry
Hull get Manchester United, Coventry go to Arsenal, and promoted clubs give you no last-season league record to judge them on. One week of evidence costs nothing; take it. There will be quality to be found there but not this week!
GameDay Squad· Round 22AFLavoid104average in the two games without Max Holmes, down from 142 with them
Holmes is gone for five to seven weeks with an ankle injury, and Smith with and without them looks like two different players. Two games is a thin sample, but both were unusually quiet.
GameDay Squad· Round 1AFLWhigh-confidence103.2projected; the comp's defenders average 52
A 100-point defender is rarer than a 130-point mid, and Fish is the only defender projected to get there. Under 22s eligibility on top.
FPL· GW1-3EPLdifferential151FPL points for Mukiele last season, at £5.5m
Sunderland start at Ipswich, home to Fulham, then at Brentford: two fixtures rated 2 and one rated 3. Almost nobody will start with a £5.5m Sunderland defender, and that is the point.
GameDay Squad· Round 1AFLWavoid99average last season, behind only Fish
GWS trialled them in the forward 50 in the final hit-out, and forwards accumulate less. It resulted in a disappointing score for a highly selected pick. Something that will catch a lot of coach's by surprise if they haven't done their homework!
GameDay Squad· 2026/27 previewEPLhigh-confidence18.1points a game last season, best of any forward
Seven multi-goal games last season, more than anyone in the league, worth 28 bonus points under the new rules. Bukayo Saka is next in the lane at 17.2.
GameDay Squad· Round 23NRLvalue pick42.6projected against an 18.2 season average
Minutes jumped from the mid-20s to 73 and 64 over the past two rounds, scores 28 then 35, and the Cowboys named them in the 9 again. Only two hookers in the round carry a higher ceiling. If you don't own the top hookers, this is the bridge.
GameDay Squad· Round 1AFLWstrong play96.1average, 44 above the defender average
Collingwood's own matchplay report says the former Saint is now in the club's top echelon. Our predictions trims them to 83, but that's still top-five defender output when you consider whats around her.
GameDay Squad· Round 1EPLdifferential12points a game for Minteh last season, top five among under-23s
Thirty-four games for Brighton last season and expected to start again. Round 1 is Aston Villa at home.
GameDay Squad· Round 1EPLvalue pick11.9points a game for Dorgu last season, top six among under-23s
Against the full player pool, a forward at 11.9 sits well down the order. Against the under-23 pool it is a top-six average, and Manchester United open at promoted Hull. The comp you are picking for changes the answer.
GameDay Squad· Round 22AFLdifferential104average over the last three rounds, up from 49 before that
Stocker's lift lines up exactly with Sinclair's absence: 104 a game over the last month after 49 before it. Carlton defends the position well, so it's a swing pick, not a safe one.
GameDay Squad· Round 23NRLvalue pick48.5projected, 11 points of it from goals
Only Sam Walker carries a bigger goal-kicking component this round, and goal duty is points you bank every week. In the Under-24s they're the third-best projected half on the slate, which makes them a start there, not just a nice number.
GameDay Squad· Round 1AFLWstrong play103projected, double the forward average
The card says forward but the team sheet says onball. 29 disposals, 2 goals and 4 clearances against GWS in pre season is what we like to see, but confirm its not a preseason red herring when lineups come out.
GameDay Squad· 2026/27 previewEPLavoid11.9points a game last season, now scored in the forward lane
As a defender, 11.5 a game was elite against a 7.8 position average. As a forward, 11.9 sits below the entire top eight, who all clear 13.9, and the clean-sheet income is gone for good.
FPL· GW1-3EPLdifferential114FPL points for Palmer last season, in 1,954 minutes
The reason to own Palmer early is Brighton in gameweek 2, after four goals in the last two meetings. Chelsea's third fixture is Arsenal away, rated 5, so time the entry and the exit.
GameDay Squad· Round 23NRLdifferential66.6average across eight games against the Raiders, GDS scoring
Twenty above their all-games mark at the biggest sample of any split this round. The model stays conservative at 36, but a ninth game at anything like the first eight would top this week's centre board. That's the punt: history against model, at a shallow position.
GameDay Squad· Round 23NRLdifferential83average across five games against the Bulldogs, GDS scoring
That's 28 above their all-games average. On the model alone they sit outside the top-eight halves this week; if the Bulldogs pattern repeats, no half in the round scores higher. A classic differential: low ownership, matchup-specific ceiling.
GameDay Squad· Round 1AFLWavoid~6 weeksout with a leg fracture
The GWS star went down in the 18 July sim and is expected back in early September. Park the card until then.
GameDay Squad· Round 1AFLWvalue pickPick 5in the draft; 2 goals in the practice round
Adelaide's club report called them very clean through the midfield. Midfield-listed and Under 22s-eligible, exactly the profile whose cards grow with the player.
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